Free Russia Foundation
Free Russia Foundation
Russia scenarios 2030

This publication is the product of an initial effort undertaken by Free Russia Foundation in 2018 to stimulate public discussion of Russian scenarios, mitigate the likelihood of a bad surprise or missed opportunities, and support the country’s transition to a more positive future.

It contains a set of twelve hypothetical evolutions for the political development of Russia through 2030, as well as analyses of key factors driving each future.

The report aims to shed light on key factors and early indicators bearing on the direction and specific content of Russia’s development (including continuity options); help evaluate the likelihood of each scenario and its significance for international security; and assist in developing a strategy for weighing and balancing risks associated with each scenario.

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